Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets 6/12/23 - NBA Betting Picks and Odds
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA: 8:30 PM EST
Jun. 12, 2023
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : DEN -9 ; O/U 208
The Miami Heat will go back on the road Monday night for game five of the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets in Denver. Miami comes into game five down 3-1 in the series after losing both home games following their 13 point loss on Friday night. Offensively Miami has played well throughout the playoffs averaging 109 total points on 46.3% shooting from the floor but have averaged just 98.25 points in the Finals due to the size and depth of the Denver defense. Bam Adebayo had his best game of the Finals in game five with 20 points and 11 rebounds on 19 shots in 44 minutes of action.
Jimmy Butler has been the offensive leader for Miami in the playoffs averaging 27.2 points on 47.6% shooting from the floor to go along with the team leading 5.9 assists per game. Big man Bam Adebayo is second on the team in scoring averaging 17.8 points per game and leads the way averaging 9.8 rebounds. Gabe Vincent has been tremendous through 21 games played averaging 13 points and Caleb Martin has perhaps been the biggest shock averaging 12.8 points on 53.3% shooting from the floor and 44% from beyond the arc.
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The Denver Nuggets return home Monday night with their eyes set on a world championship up big in the series. Denver comes into Monday 15-3 overall through the postseason after consecutive wins on the road in Miami for game three and game four. Offensively Denver has been a complete smoke show in the playoffs averaging 114.5 points per game on 49.4% shooting from the floor through 19 games played. Defensively Denver has been fantastic as well in the playoffs allowing just 106 points resulting in their stellar overall record.
Nikola Jokic has been a maestro on the offensive side of the ball for Denver leading the team averaging 30.1 points per game, 13.3 rebounds, and 9.8 assists on 54% shooting from the floor. Jamal Murray has been fantastic as well averaging 26.7 points per game and leads Denver averaging 1.5 steals. Aaron Gordon is third on the team averaging 13.7 points per game and Bruce Brown scoring 12.1 points per game off the bench in the playoffs.
Recent Betting Trends:
Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Heat are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Free Betting Pick: Over 208
The Denver Nuggets have dominated this series and will wrap things up on Monday. Denver has been the best team in the playoffs since April and will end the NBA season on Monday. Look for the Denver offense to explode in a huge way in game 5 leading to a ton of points. Take the Over in game 5 as the Nuggets will do the heavy lifting leading to a huge total. Final Score Prediction, Denver Nuggets win but the play is the Over 114-106.