Air Force at San Diego State 10/12/18 - NCAA Football ATS Pick & Betting Odds
Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs
CFB: 9:00 PM ET
Oct. 12, 2018
TV: CBSC
Latest Odds : SDG St -10.5 O/U 43.5
Both teams are off upset wins last week but San Diego State upset Boise State as a double digit dog last week whereas Air Force was a very small dog versus Navy last week. The Falcons are 2-3 SU this season but all 3 losses have come by 10 points or less.
The Aztecs have won 4 straight games SU but each of San Diego State's last 3 wins have come by 7 points or less. The Aztecs are averaging just 21.6 points per game this season. The Falcons are averaging 31.4 points per game this season.
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While Air Force rates an edge on offense so far this season, San Diego State does rate an edge on the defensive side of the ball. However, the Aztecs edge on defense is a slight one and this is a big number for a team to lay when averaging only 21 points per game!
Air Force lost last year's match-up by just 4 points and the Falcons were ahead by 2 points at the half. Another game that is tight all the way is expected here as San Diego State struggles to stop the option attack of Air Force.
Recent Betting Trends:
Air Force 7-3 ATS last 10 as an underdog.
Falcons 22-11 ATS in road games with O/U between 42.5 and 49.
Air Force O/U 10-3 in road games.
San Diego St O/U 22-48 in October games.
Aztecs 9-1 ATS when playing a team with a losing record.
San Diego St 12-6 ATS run in conference games.
Free Betting Pick: Air Force Falcons +10.5
The Falcons have extra hunger for this game since they are 0-2 SU in road games on the season. San Diego State could be a little flat here because of last week's huge upset of the Broncos. Also, Air Force is playing with revenge in this match-up.
Given the above, a road cover is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to grab the points with a projected final score of San Diego State 27, Air Force 24.