Air Force at UNLV 10/19/18 - NCAA Football O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Rebels
CFB: 10:00 PM ET
Oct. 19, 2018
TV: CBSC
Latest Odds : Air Force -9.5 O/U 57
The UNLV Rebels have struggled on defense in their past two games but previously allowed an average of just 22.7 points per game in their 3 prior games. The Air Force Falcons have allowed an average of only 18.7 points per game their last 3 games.
Air Force QB Donald Hammond got hurt in the Falcons most recent game. Even if Donald Hammond plays Friday he is unlikely to be at 100%. The offense of the UNLV Revels has not been the same ever since QB Armani Rogers got hurt. The UNLV Rebels have averaged scoring only 20.7 points per game their last 3 games.
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The past two games for the UNLV Rebels, without QB Armani Rogers, have been particularly bad. The UNLV Rebels have averaged just 285 total yards of offense their past two games.
Air Force has been very solid on defense, particularly run defense as the Falcons are allowing an average of only 101.2 rushing yards per game on defense this season.
Recent Betting Trends:
Air Force 0-6 ATS against teams with a losing record.
Falcons O/U 5-1 in road games when favored.
Air Force 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
UNLV 8-2 ATS as a home dog of 7.5 to 10 points.
Rebels O/U 5-1 when off 2 or more consecutive SU losses.
UNLV 5-0 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 10 points.
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 57 in UNLV
With the UNLV Rebels averaging only 123.7 passing yards per game this season, an inability to move the ball well on the ground will have a huge impact on the UNLV Rebels offense.
The Air Force Falcons, just like the UNLV Rebels, rely heavily on the ground game for their offense. An emphasis on the ground game tends to lead to lower-scoring games as there is more running clock.
Given the above, a lower scoring game is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to play the UNDER with a projected final score of Air Force 31, UNLV 14.