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Appalachian State at Arkansas State 10/9/18 - NCAA Football O/U Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 9 October 2018 by Clyde Schmidt
zacthomas100918

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

CFB: 8:00 PM ET

Oct. 09, 2018

TV: ESPN2
Latest Odds : App St -9.5 O/U 59.5


These teams have not met since the 2015 season. Arkansas State won that meeting with Appalachian State 40-27 as they rallied from a halftime deficit.

The Red Wolves are facing an offensive juggernaut this season as the Mountaineers are averaging 51.8 points per game. Arkansas State might be up to the task of slowing Appalachian State down as the Red Wolves are off of a bye week.

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With fresh legs off of a bye week the Red Wolves defense will look to prove their solid pass defense this season is not a fluke. Arkansas State has allowed an average of only 93 passing yards per game this season in their home games.

The Mountaineers defense has been fantastic following the high-scoring shootout in Week 1 versus Penn State when they very nearly upset the Nittany Lions. Appalachian State has held each of their last 3 opponents to 9 or less points!

Recent Betting Trends:

Appalachian State is 7-4 ATS as an SBC road favorite.

Mountaineers are 6-0 ATS after a bye week.

O/U is 3-10 in Appalachian State games after a bye week.

O/U is 0-6 in Arkansas State games against teams with a winning record.

Red Wolves are 7-0 ATS in October games.

Arkansas State is 4-0 ATS as a home dog in a range of 7.5 to 10 points.

Free Betting Pick: UNDER 59.5 in Arkansas State

The numbers on defense for the Red Wolves have been skewed by the fact that they had to play Alabama this season. Just like Appalachian State gave up a lot of points versus Penn State, Arkansas State gave up a lot of points versus the Crimson Tide. However, in their other 4 games they've allowed an average of just 22.3 points per game.

Given the above, a lower scoring game than many are expecting is absolutely in the forecast here. The best bet (value) is to play the under with a projected final score of Appalachian State 34, Arkansas State 17

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