Georgia at LSU 10/13/18 - NCAA Football ATS Pick & Betting Odds
Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers
CFB: 3:30 PM ET
Oct. 13, 2018
TV: CBS
Latest Odds : Georgia -7.5 O/U 50.5
Georgia has been red hot this season but LSU has played the tougher schedule. The Bulldogs have been favored by more than a TD in all 6 of their games this season.
The Tigers have been an underdog in half of their 6 games this season. That statistic alone shows you which team has played the tougher schedule. Part of the key to the value here is that LSU is off of their first loss of the season.
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LSU Tigers QB Joe Burrow had his best game of the season two weeks ago versus Ole Miss but then had his worst game of the season last week at Florida. Though Joe Burrow did make a few mistakes, especially late, he also suffered from some dropped passes by receivers.
Joe Burrow and the Tigers are hungry to bounce back off of the defeat and it is rare for LSU to be in this price range at home. Though Georgia certainly has played well this season, not enough respect is being given to a Tigers team that not only beat Miami and Auburn this season but covered each game by double digits compared to the spread.
Recent Betting Trends:
Georgia O/U is 3-7 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points.
Bulldogs O/U is 2-7 in road games with an O/U between 49.5 and 52 points.
Georgia is 6-2 ATS last 8 as a road favorite.
LSU is 5-0 SU / 4-1 ATS when off a SU loss to an SEC foe.
Tigers O/U is 9-19 in Saturday games.
LSU is 6-1 SU / 5-2 ATS in October games.
Free Betting Pick: LSU Tigers +7.5
LSU is 7-0 SU in home games with a total set between 49.5 and 56 points. In this match-up the TIgers don't even have to get the SU win to deliver the cash as LSU is a home underdog of more than a touchdown.
Given the above, a home dog cover is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to grab the points with a projected final score of Georgia 28, LSU 27.