Missouri at Florida 11/3/18 - NCAA Football ATS Pick & Betting Odds
Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators
CFB: 4:00 PM ET
Nov. 03, 2018
TV: SEC
Latest Odds : FLA -6 O/U 57.5
The Missouri Tigers are off a tight one point loss versus Kentucky. The game ended with a questionable call that helped lead to the Wildcats win. As a result, Drew Lock and the Missouri Tigers can't wait to get on the field to have a chance to get erase that bitter defeat from their minds.
The above situational edge for the Missouri Tigers negates some of the of the revenge angle edge that the Florida Gators have here. The Gators got drilled at Missouri last season and would love to get revenge here.
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Another key issue, in addition to the Missouri Tigers hunger here, that is likely to prevent the Gators from avenging this defeat is that Florida is known for struggling the week after facing the Georgia Bulldogs.
The Florida Gators lost badly to the Georgia Bulldogs last week and Florida is 1-6 ATS their 7 in games that immediately follow facing Georgia. Look for the Gators to get caught still licking their wounds from last week's bloodbath at the hands of the Bulldogs.
Recent Betting Trends:
Missouri is 11-5 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points.
Tigers O/U is 8-4 in games against teams with a winning record.
Missouri is 4-2 ATS in last 6 meetings with Gators.
Florida is 3-5 ATS (and SU) last 8 November games.
Gators O/U is 2-7 when off a loss versus SEC foe.
Florida O/U is 5-10 in last 15 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Missouri +6
The Missouri Tigers are averaging 469.6 yards of offense per game while the Florida Gators are averaging 391.4 yards of offense per game this season. The Gators have averaged just 23.5 points per game the past 4 weeks. The Tigers, prior to last week's loss, had averaged 38.6 points per game their first 7 games this season.
Given all of the above, a road dog cover is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to grab the generous points with an upset quite possible based on a projected final score of Missouri 34, Florida 28.