Nevada vs Arkansas State 12/29/18 - College Football Betting Picks & Odds
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
CFB: 1:15 PM
Dec. 29, 2018
TV: CBS Sports Net
Latest Odds : Ark St -1.5 O/U 60.5
The Nevada Wolf Pack could have trouble entering this bowl game still trying to get over the fact they blew a 23-0 lead against rival UNLV as they went on to lose to the Rebels in their final regular season game.
Although the Nevada Wolf Pack do come from a tougher conference, it is the Arkansas State Red Wolves that could be more motivated here as Nevada's regular season did end in major disappointment.
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The Arkansas State Red Wolves are led by QB Justice Hansen. Not only was he the SBC Offensive Player of the Year last year, he showed improvement this season. Arkansas State Red Wolves QB Justice Hansen completed 67% of his passes and threw for 27 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions!
The Nevada Wolf Pack offense is led by QB Ty Gangi. Both the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Nevada Wolf Pack are balanced in terms of their offensive attacks. However, Justice Hansen rates an edge here as QB Ty Gangi completed 61% of his passes while throwing for 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.
Recent Betting Trends:
Arkansas State is 1-3 ATS (and SU) in bowls under head coach Blake Anderson.
Red Wolves O/U is 0-9 in games against teams with a winning record.
Arkansas State is 13-4 ATS (and SU) when off a win in conference action.
Nevada is 0-3 ATS versus non-conference foes (FBS level) this season.
Wolf Pack O/U is 1-4 in games with a line between +3 and -3.
Nevada is 4-9 SU (and 3-6 ATS) in bowl games.
Free Betting Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 22-11 SU in their last 33 games played on turf while the Nevada Wolf Pack are an unimpressive 15-18 SU in their last 33 games played on turf. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been a consistent participant in terms of playing in bowl games in recent seasons and that continuity gives them an edge over the Nevada Wolf Pack.
Considering all of the above, including situational and motivation factors, the prediction here is for the SBC team to take down the MWC foe. Final Score predicted, Arkansas State Red Wolves 38, Nevada Wolf Pack 27