Toledo at Northern Illinois 11/7/18 - NCAA Football O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Toledo Rockets vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
CFB: 8:00 PM ET
Nov. 07, 2018
TV: ESPN2
Latest Odds : N. Ill -3 O/U 55.5
Very intriguing match-up as the Toledo Rockets have the offense (41.2 ppg, 440.1 ypg) while the Northern Illinois Huskies have the defense (21.7 ppg, 346.3 ypg). Which one gives in this key MAC game?
Of course that is the key question when it comes to the ATS aspect of this match-up but it appears the best value may be with the over. The Toledo Rockets are still expected to be without QB Mitchell Guadagni. Although his back-up, Eli Peters has played extremely well, this is a tough road game against a tough defense.
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The Toledo Rockets, with Eli Peters at QB, are likely to emphasize the ground game in this match-up. The more running you see in a game generally the better that is for an under as the clock runs more than it tends to do when teams are emphasizing the pass.
This O/U is the mid-fifties and the Northern Illinois Huskies have not allowed more than 21 points in any of their home games this season. The Toledo Rockets have allowed only 18.5 points per game their past two games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Toledo 16-9 ATS in road games with O/U between 52.5 and 56 points.
Rockets O/U 5-10 off a win versus a conference foe.
Toledo O/U 2-7 in games played in weeks 10 through 13.
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in conference games.
Huskies O/U is 1-6 in games played on turf this season.
Northern Illinois O/U is 27-44 in home games.
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 55.5 in Northern Illinois
Before exploding for 51 points at Western Michigan, the Toledo Rockets had averaged 26.5 points per game on the road this season. The Northern Illinois Huskies have the top ranked defense in the MAC and they are at home here. In other words, it is likely that yardage and points will be at a premium in this one.
The strength of the Toledo Rockets is notable but so too is the Northern Illinois Huskies defense and their lack of productivity on offense. Given the above, a lower scoring game than many are expecting is absolutely in the forecast here. The best bet (value) is to play the under with a projected final score of Toledo 24, Northern Illinois 20