Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies

MLB: 7:05 PM ET

Jun. 11, 2019

TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -135 O/U 9.5

The Philadelphia Phillies Jake Arrieta has allowed 4 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 6 starts. However, only 1 of those 6 starts was at home. In Jake Arrieta's first 5 home starts this season he allowed 3 earned runs or less in 4 of the 5 outings. A strong outing at home for Jake Arrieta is certainly not unlikely given his early season success at Citizens Bank Park.

The Arizona Diamondbacks Jon Duplantier has allowed a total of 5 earned runs in his first two starts this season but he did go 5 innings in each outing. The Philadelphia Phillies have shown a tendency for struggling against hurlers they haven't faced previously.

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Though the Monday night series opener was a wild high-scoring affair, the teams entered this series having been the recipients of solid pitching. The Arizona Diamondbacks entered Monday having held their opponents to 3 earned runs or less in 6 of their last 7 games.

The Philadelphia Phillies entered Monday having been held to 4 runs or less in 8 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies Jake Arrieta has allowed only 2 earned runs in his last 3 starts (21 innings) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Recent Betting Trends:

Arizona is 40-20 when playing on Tuesday

Diamondbacks O/U is 17-24 this season against right-handed starters

Arizona is 42-20 in June games

Philadelphia is 38-19 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Phillies O/U is 4-7 their last 11 games

Philadelphia is 7-3 in Jake Arrieta's starts against a right-handed starter

Free Betting Pick: UNDER 9.5 in Philadelphia

With consideration to all of the above factors, runs should be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 4, Arizona Diamondbacks 3

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