Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 7/27/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB: 7:05 PM ET
Jul. 26, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Atlanta -130 O/U 10.0
This series marks a key divisional battle between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. Additionally, both the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies entered this series on strong trends toward the under: 5 straight unders for the Atlanta Braves and 5 straight unders for the Atlanta Braves was the respective mark for each entering this series.
In a tight divisional match-up and with the Atlanta Braves having entered this series having averaged 3.5 runs per game their last 10 games, the under is likely to be a cash cow in this series. The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series having averaged 2.5 runs per game in their last 4 games.
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The Philadelphia Phillies are starting Zach Eflin in this game. Though he has struggled recently and lost to the Atlanta Braves earlier this month, a different result should be expected tonight. Why? It is because Zach Eflin dominated the Atlanta Braves in his other three starts against them in his career. Zach Eflin went 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA.
The Atlanta Braves hand the ball to Max Fried for this one. The Atlanta Braves Max Fried has allowed only 5 earned runs on just 13 hits in 16 innings of work over his last 3 road starts. Though he struggled against the Philadelphia Phillies recently, Max Fried compiled a 1.13 ERA in his only other 4 appearances against them in his career.
Recent Betting Trends:
Braves O/U is 6-3-2 in Max Fried's last 11 starts
Atlanta is 5-1 in Max Fried's last 6 road starts
Braves O/U entering Friday was 4-13-1 their last 18 games
Philadelphia is 2-8 in Zach Eflin's last 10 starts
Phillies O/U is 4-1 in Zach Eflin's last 5 starts
Philadelphia, entering Friday, is 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus the Braves
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 10 in Philadelphia
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Atlanta Braves 4, Philadelphia Phillies 3