Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 7/28/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB: 1:05 PM ET
Jul. 28, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -140 O/U 9.5
Aaron Nola gets the start for the Philadelphia Phillies against the Atlanta Braves in the finale of this 3-game series on Sunday. The Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola has a 1.51 ERA in his last 7 starts. The Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola is 4-0 in his 8 day game starts this season and opponents are hitting only .192 against him Aaron Nola in those 8 outings.
Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Atlanta Braves against the Philadelphia Phillies in the finale of this 3-game series on Sunday. Though the Atlanta Braves Kevin Gausman has struggled recently, the Philadelphia Phillies entered Saturday's action having scored a total of only 12 runs in their past 5 games. Also, the Atlanta Braves Kevin Gausman is off a gem (1 earned run in 7 innings) in his start last week (first since mid-June).
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This series marks a key divisional battle between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. Additionally, both the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies entered this series on strong trends toward the under: 5 straight unders for the Atlanta Braves and 5 straight unders for the Atlanta Braves was the respective mark for each entering this series. Though Friday's game went over the total the Philadelphia Phillies scored only two runs.
In a tight divisional match-up and with the Atlanta Braves having entered this series having averaged 3.5 runs per game their last 10 games, the under is likely to be a cash cow in this series. The Philadelphia Phillies entered Saturday's game having averaged 2.4 runs per game in their last 5 games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Atlanta is 6-12 this season as an underdog of +125 to +175
Braves O/U, entering Saturday, is 5-13 in the month of July
Atlanta is 14-3 this season when playing on Sunday
Philadelphia is 28-14 this season as a favorite of -125 to -175
Phillies O/U is 6-11 this season when playing on Sunday
Philadelphia is 11-6 this season when playing on Sunday
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 9.5 in Philadelphia
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 4, Atlanta Braves 3