Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

MLB: 7:20 PM ET

Jul. 03, 2019

TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Atlanta -140 O/U 10.5

Entering Tuesday's action, the Philadelphia Phillies were off a win on Sunday - a 13-6 victory - which was the 12th time in 16 games that the Philadelphia Phillies have allowed 5 or more runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies are expected to have Nick Pivetta get the call in this one. The last 3 starts that Nick Pivetta has made have not go well. Nick Pivetta has allowed 14 earned runs in 17 and 2/3 innings over 3 starts (compiling a 7.13 ERA), with opponents batting .333/.400/.694 during this stretch. Nick Pivetta allowed 7 home runs in those 3 starts.

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The Atlanta Braves are expected to have Bryse Wilson on the mound for this one and he has a 7.47 ERA in 6 career MLB appearances (3 starts) while having never pitched more than 5 innings in any of his starts.

The Atlanta Braves entered Tuesday having scored 5 or more runs in 5 straight games. Per all of the above key factors, the value will be on the high side of the big number that is likely to be set on this one. The Philadelphia Phillies entered Tuesday having scored an average of 7.4 runs per game their last 7 games.

Recent Betting Trends:

Philadelphia is 81-97 when playing against a team with a winning record

Phillies O/U is 21-14 this season when playing against a team with a winning record

Philadelphia is 75-127 in road games

Atlanta, entering Tuesday, is 5-1 this season at home when the total is 10 to 10.5

Braves O/U, entering Tuesday, is 5-1 this season at home when the total is 10 to 10.5

Atlanta O/U, entering Tuesday, is 25-13 in home games

Free Betting Pick: OVER 10.5 in Atlanta

With consideration to all of the above factors, runs will be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Atlanta Braves 7, Philadelphia Phillies 5

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