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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox 8/20/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 20 August 2019 by Clyde Schmidt
nola040819

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox

MLB: 7:10 PM ET

Aug. 20, 2019

TV: MLB Network
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -115 O/U 11.0


The Philadelphia Phillies enter this series off a poor weekend series versus the San Diego Padres. The Philadelphia Phillies continue to struggle to score runs. Going on the road is unlikely to help matters for the Philadelphia Phillies as they have scored an average of 3.5 runs per game in their last 11 road games.

As hot as the Boston Red Sox lineup was in their Sunday win over the Baltimore Orioles, the Boston Red Sox entered that series finale having been held to 4 or less runs in 10 of their 16 prior games. In their past two interleague games, the Boston Red Sox have scored an average of only 3 runs per game.

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The Boston Red Sox start Brian Johnson in the first game of this series with the Philadelphia Phillies. Brian Johnson has a 3.52 ERA in his home starts this season. The Boston Red Sox southpaw Brian Johnson may not have to pitch deep into this game as the bullpen is fresh after the off day on Monday.

The Philadelphia Phillies start ace Aaron Nola in this one. The Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola is 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA in his last eleven starts. The Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola has allowed 1 earned run or less in 8 of those 11 starts. The Boston Red Sox hitters that have experience against Aaron Nola are a combined 5 for 31.

Recent Betting Trends:

Philadelphia is 50-31 this season as a favorite of -110 or higher

Phillies O/U is 16-9 this season as a road favorite of -110 or higher

Philadelphia is 16-9 this season on the road with a money line of -100 to -150

Boston is 12-22 this season when the money line is +125 to -125

Red Sox O/U is 11-4 this season at home when the total is 11 to 11.5

Boston is 39-14 the past 3 seasons in an inter-league game

Free Betting Pick: UNDER 11 in Boston

With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 5, Boston Red Sox 4

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