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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox 8/21/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 21 August 2019 by Clyde Schmidt
Phillies WFP

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox

MLB: 7:10 PM ET

Aug. 21, 2019

TV: MLB Network
Latest Odds : Boston -160 O/U 12.0


The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series off a poor weekend series versus the San Diego Padres. The Philadelphia Phillies continue to struggle to score runs. Going on the road is unlikely to help matters for the Philadelphia Phillies as they entered this series having scored an average of 3.5 runs per game in their last 11 road games.

As hot as the Boston Red Sox lineup was in their Sunday win over the Baltimore Orioles, the Boston Red Sox entered that series finale having been held to 4 or less runs in 10 of their 16 prior games. Entering this series, it is is noteworthy that In their past two interleague games, the Boston Red Sox had scored an average of only 3 runs per game.

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The Boston Red Sox start Rick Porcello in the second game of this series with the Philadelphia Phillies. Rick Porcello is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA in his 3 August starts and opposing hitters are batting only .206 against Rick Porcello in the month of August.

The Philadelphia Phillies start Drew Smyly in the second game of this series with the Boston Red Sox. The Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Drew Smyly has a 3.68 ERA in his last three road starts. That includes two with the Philadelphia Phillies and one with the Texas Rangers for the crafty left-hander Drew Smyly.

Recent Betting Trends:

Philadelphia, entering Tuesday, is 7-19 this season as a road underdog of +100 to +150

Phillies O/U, entering Tuesday, is 0-3 this season on the road when the total is 11 to 11.5

Philadelphia, entering Tuesday, is a long-term 110-141 against AL East opponents

Boston, entering Tuesday, is 143-90 long-term in home games

Red Sox O/U, entering Tuesday, is 11-4 this season at home when the total is 11 to 11.5

Boston, entering Tuesday, is 39-14 in an inter-league game

Free Betting Pick: UNDER 12 in Philadelphia

With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Boston Red Sox 5, Philadelphia Phillies 4

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