Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs 5/23/19 - MLB Baseball Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
MLB: 2:20 PM ET
May. 23, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Chicago Cubs -110
Entering Wednesday's game at Wrigley Field, the Chicago Cubs had lost 4 of their last 7 games while the Philadelphia Phillies had won 4 of their last 5 games. The Thursday match-up appears to favor the Philadelphia Phillies based on a decided pitching edge.
While the Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola is 4-0 this season and also has allowed just 1 earned run in 4 of his last 5 starts, the Chicago Cubs Jon Lester has been getting hit hard. Jon Lester has given up 27 hits in 17 innings over his last 3 starts. Also, Jon Lester allowed 5 earned runs in under 5 innings of work in his most recent start.
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The Chicago Cubs are 1-3 this season when Jon Lester starts and the Chicago Cubs are an underdog. It would not be a surprise to see the Philadelphia Phillies move from a pick'em to a favorite in this match-up with Aaron Nola on the mound.
The Philadelphia Phillies go as their bats go. In other words, poor efforts at the plate lead to losses and strong hitting games lead to wins. Considering that the Chicago Cubs Jon Lester is likely to get hard, this looks like the Philadelphia Phillies game. Entering Wednesday's game, the Philadelphia Phillies had averaged only 1.8 runs per game in their last 5 losses but 5.6 runs per game in their last 7 wins.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia is 26-48 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Phillies O/U is 46-76 in day games
Philadelphia is 11-4 this season in day games
Chicago is 11-6 in day games
Cubs O/U is 12-26 at home when the money line is +125 to -125
Chicago, entering Wednesday's game, was 18-7 this season when playing against a team with a winning record
Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -110
With consideration to all of the above factors, the road team holds the edges in this one and the best bet (value) is to take the reasonably priced away team based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 5, Chicago Cubs 4