Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 6/28/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
MLB: 7:10 PM ET
Jun. 28, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -140 O/U 8.0
The Philadelphia Phillies have more than just snapped their 7 game losing streak now, they are officially hot again as they've won each game of their 4 game set with the Mets to earn the sweep. Another victory Thursday - a 6-3 win - was just the 4th time in 13 games that the Philadelphia Phillies did not allow 5 or more runs.
After that rare lower-scoring result in the Philadelphia Phillies game yesterday (which didn't see much scoring until very late), look for the normal high-scoring ways to resume here on Friday.
The Philadelphia Phillies are expected to have Vincent Velasquez get the call in this one. The last two starts Vincent Velasquez has made on the road have not gone particularly well. Vincent Velasquez has allowed 9 earned runs in under 7 innings in his last two starts away from home.
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The Miami Marlines are expected to have Elieser Hernandez on the mound for this one and he has struggled with the homer run ball in his limited action this season. The Miami Marlins Elieser Hernandez has allowed 3 homers in his 2 most recent starts.
By the way, the Miami Marlins enter Friday having scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Per all of the above key factors, the value will be on the high side of the number in this one. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored an average of 7.8 runs per game their last 4 games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia is 25-43 on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
Phillies O/U 10-16 as a road favorite of -125 to -175
Philadelphia is 32-46 in June games
Miami is 3-16 this season as a home underdog of +125 to +175
Marlins O/U is 0-2-1 this season in Elieser Hernandez starts
Miami is 1-11 this season at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
Free Betting Pick: OVER 8 in Philadelphia
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs will be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 6, Miami Marlins 4