Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 6/29/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
MLB: 4:10 PM ET
Jun. 29, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -130 O/U 8.0
The Philadelphia Phillies, prior to an ugly loss to the Marlins Friday, had more than just snapped their 7 game losing streak. They were officially hot again as they won each game of their 4 game set with the New York Mets to earn the sweep. The Philadelphia Phillies defeat on Friday - a 6-2 loss - was 10th time in 14 games that the Philadelphia Phillies have allowed 5 or more runs.
The Philadelphia Phillies are expected to have Zach Eflin get the call in this one. The last start Zach Eflin made on the road at Miami did not go well. Zach Eflin allowed 6 earned runs on 10 hits (including 3 homers) in 4 innings at Marlins Park.
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The Miami Marlins are expected to have Jordan Yamamoto on the mound for this one and he walked 4 Phillies in 5 innings in his lone career starts against Philadelphia. The Miami Marlins Jordan Yakamoto just faced this lineup last week so the Philadelphia Phillies are getting a quick second look at him.
By the way, the Miami Marlins enter Saturday having scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. Per all of the above key factors, the value will be on the high side of the low number that was set on this one. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game their last 5 games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia is 16-22 this season in road games
Phillies O/U is 51-83 in day games
Philadelphia is 2-6 this season in Zach Eflin's road starts
Miami is 2-11 this season at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
Marlins O/U is 7-4-2 this season at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
Miami is 8-16 this season in day games
Free Betting Pick: OVER 8 in Philadelphia
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs will be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 6, Miami Marlins 5