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Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins 6/30/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 30 June 2019 by Clyde Schmidt
phillies040719

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

MLB: 1:10 PM ET

Jun. 30, 2019

TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Philadelphia -125 O/U 8.0


The Philadelphia Phillies have now lost back to back games to the Miami Marlins after winning each game of their 4 game set with the New York Mets to earn the sweep. The Philadelphia Phillies defeat on Saturday - a 9-6 loss - was 11th time in 15 games that the Philadelphia Phillies have allowed 5 or more runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies are expected to have Jake Arrieta get the call in this one. The last start Jake Arrieta made versus Miami did not go well. Jake Arrieta allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in a slug-fest match-up between these teams in late April.

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The Miami Marlins are expected to have Trevor Richards on the mound for this one and he was on the mound against Jake Arrieta and the Philadelphia Phillies in that late April slug-fest match-up. The Miami Marlins Trevor Richards gave up 5 earned runs in just 4 innings versus the Philadelphia Phillies and has a recent struggles against them.

Trevor Richards also got rocked by the Philadelphia Phillies in his most recent home start against them which was in September of last year. Trevor Richards was unable to complete 2 innings!

The Miami Marlins enter Sunday having scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Per all of the above key factors, the value will be on the high side of the low number that was set on this one. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game their last 6 games.

Recent Betting Trends:

Philadelphia is 25-13 this season as a favorite of -125 to -175

Phillies O/U is 10-4 this season as a road favorite of -110 or higher

Philadelphia O/U is 4-9 this season when playing on Sunday

Miami is 10-21 this season when the total is 8 to 8.5

Marlins O/U is 6-18 this season in day games

Miami is 13-28 this season as an underdog of +100 to +150

Free Betting Pick: OVER 8 in Philadelphia

With consideration to all of the above factors, runs will be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 6, Miami Marlins 5

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