Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers 5/25/19 - MLB Baseball Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB: 4:10 PM ET
May. 25, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Milwaukee -120 O/U 9.0
The Milwaukee Brewers entered this series with the benefit of an off day Thursday. Also, the Milwaukee Brewers were already at home as they just completed a 2-game set with the Cincinnati Reds. That gave the Milwaukee Brewers the scheduling edge entering this series.
At the other end of the spectrum the Philadelphia Phillies entered this series off a 4-game set with the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Also, the Philadelphia Phillies have not had an off day in a span of two weeks (May 9th was last day the Philadelphia Phillies were not in action).
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The Philadelphia Phillies are starting Jake Arrieta in Game Two of this 3-game set. The veteran right-hander has a 3.38 ERA on the road this season. Overall, 7 of Jake Arrieta's 10 starts have been quality outings in which he has gone 6 or more innings and allowed 3 or less earned runs.
The Milwaukee Brewers are are expected to start Jhoulys Chacin in this match-up. The Milwaukee Brewers Jhoulys Chacin was hit very hard in his most recent match-up and his strikeout numbers are down this season. He is likely to be outpitched by Jake Arrieta in this match-up.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia, entering Friday, is 11-5 this season when the total is 9 to 9.5
Phillies O/U, entering Friday, is 2-5 this season on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5
Philadelphia, entering Friday, is 24-13 this season against right-handed starters
Milwaukee, entering Friday, is 8-2 at home this season at home when the total is 9 to 9.5
Brewers O/U, entering Friday, is 5-14 this season when the total is 9 to 9.5
Milwaukee, entering Friday, is 46-18 as a home favorite of -125 to -175
Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +110
With consideration to all of the above factors, the road team holds the edges in this one and the best bet (value) is to take the underdog road team based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 5, Milwaukee Brewers 4