Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets 7/5/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
MLB: 7:10 PM ET
Jul. 05, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : New York Mets -200 O/U 8.0
The Philadelphia Phillies pitching continues to struggle as they have allowed 5 or more runs in 14 of their last 19 games. Vincent Velasquez on the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies in Friday's series opener against the New York Mets could mean more troubles are likely.
The Philadelphia Phillies Vince Velasquez has a 6.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. On the season Vince Velasquez has a 5.27 ERA in road starts. Vince Velazquez had a strong April start against the New York Mets but entered that outing having allowed 16 earned runs in 22 innings over his 5 prior starts against the New York Mets.
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The New York Mets are starting Jacob deGrom in this one. The right-hander has seen his starts go 11-5-1 to the over this season as Jacob deGrom has benefited from plenty of run support in his starts. With Vincent Velasquez on the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies, plenty of run support is again likely for Jacob deGrom.
The New York Mets Jacob deGrom has allowed 14 hits in 12 innings over his last two starts. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored an average of 7.4 runs per game their last 5 games against the New York Mets. The New York Mets were off Thursday but prior to a low-scoring Wednesday loss, the New York Mets had scored 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 12 games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia is 7-18 as an underdog this season
Phillies O/U is 9-15 as an underdog this season
Philadelphia is 12-21 as an underdog of +175 to +250
New York is 8-1 this season at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
Mets O/U is 35-18 this season in night games
New York is 2-6 in Jacob deGrom's home starts this season
Free Betting Pick: OVER 8 in New York Mets
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs will be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of New York Mets 6, Philadelphia Phillies 4