Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets 7/7/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
MLB: 1:10 PM ET
Jul. 07, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : New York Mets -110 O/U 8.5
Pitchers duel is quite likely to wrap up this divisional series Sunday. The New York Mets Zack Wheeler has a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Nola has been even more electric with his stuff of late. Aaron Nola has allowed only 1 earned run in 23 innings over his last 3 starts.
Based on fantastic pitching, none of Aaron Nola's last 3 starts have resulted in an over. Likewise, Zack Wheeler has thrown very well and neither of his last two starts have resulted in an over. Also, Zack Wheeler's last 3 home starts have yielded 2 unders against just 1 over.
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Entering Saturday's game the New York Mets have scored an average of only 3.5 runs per game in their past 6 games against the Philadelphia Phillies. Though the Philadelphia Phillies had a big win Friday night, they entered that game just 2-8 in their 10 previous road games. In those 8 road losses, the Philadelphia Phillies scored an average of only 2.9 runs per game.
The New York Mets have been held to scoring 3 or less runs in 6 of their last 7 games against the Philadelphia Phillies when Aaron Nola is the starting pitcher. The New York Mets have scored an average of only 3.4 runs per game in their past 7 home games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia, entering Saturday, is 6-0 their last 6 games against Mets
Phillies O/U, entering Saturday, is 7-3-2 their last dozen games
Philadelphia O/U, entering Saturday, is 21-32 in July games
New York, entering Saturday, is 19-33 this season when playing against a team with a winning record
Mets O/U, entering Saturday, is 28-19 this season when playing against a team with a winning record
New York O/U,entering Saturday, is 17-6 this season when their money line is -100 to -150
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 8.5 in New York Mets
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one. The best bet (value) is to play under the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 3, New York Mets 2