Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/19/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB: 7:05 PM ET
Jul. 19, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Pittsburgh -110 O/U 10.0
The Philadelphia Phillies got a big 7-6 win Thursday to earn a 2-2 split of their series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 7 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have given up 6 or more runs in each of their last 4 games.
The Philadelphia Phillies enter this series having an allowed an average of 9.3 runs per game their last 4 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have been an over machine in recent months as the O/U is 34-16 in the Pittsburgh Pirates games during this stretch.
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Jake Arrieta gets the start for the Philadelphia Phillies in the series opener with the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday. Jake Arrieta is off a strong start versus the Washington Nationals but his elbow spur is an issue. The Philadelphia Phillies entered his most recent start having allowed 14 earned runs in 16 and 1/3 innings.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are starting Jordan Lyles in this one. The Pittsburgh Pirates Jordan Lyles has allowed 33 earned runs in 29 and 1/3 innings over his last 7 starts. With both starting pitchers having a strong likelihood of getting hard and both bullpens ranked in the bottom third of the majors, plenty of scoring quite likely in this one!
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia is 29-18 this season when the money line is -100 to -150
Phillies O/U is 5-2 in Jake Arrieta's last 7 starts
Philadelphia is 7-3 in Jake Arreita's last 10 starts
Pittsburgh is 2-4 in their last 6 games
Pirates O/U is 35-16 their last 51 games
Pittsburgh is 0-6 in Jordan Lyle's last 6 starts
Free Betting Pick: OVER 10 in Pittsburgh
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 7, Pittsburgh Pirates 6