Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/20/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB: 7:05 PM ET
Jul. 20, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Pittsburgh -120 O/U 11.0
The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series with some momentum as they got a big 7-6 win Thursday to earn a 2-2 split of their series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Philadelphia Phillies, entering Friday, had scored 7 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. The Philadelphia Phillies, entering this series, had given up 6 or more runs in each of their last 4 games.
The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series having an allowed an average of 9.3 runs per game their last 4 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have been an over machine in recent months as the O/U, not including Friday's result, is 34-16 in the Pittsburgh Pirates games during this stretch.
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With both starting pitchers having a strong likelihood of getting hit hard and both bullpens ranked in the bottom third of the majors, plenty of scoring quite likely in this one! The Philadelphia Phillies are going with Zach Eflin and he has a 9.60 ERA in his last 3 starts.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are starting Trevor Williams and he has an 8.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pittsburgh Pirates Trevor Williams has a 6.43 ERA in his 3 career outings against the Philadelphia Phillies. Zach Eflin was great in his only career starts against the Pirates but that was 3 years ago and Zach Eflin is not pitching anything like that at the present time.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia, entering Friday, is 6-18 this season as an underdog of +100 to +150
Phillies O/U is 2-5 on the road when the total is 11 to 11.5
Philadelphia O/U is 4-0 in Zach Eflin's last 4 starts
Pittsburgh, entering Friday, is 1-5 last 6 games
Pirates O/U, entering Friday, is 9-4 this season against NL East opponents
Pittsburgh O/U, entering Friday, is 28-12 in home games
Free Betting Pick: OVER 11 in Pittsburgh
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 7, Pittsburgh Pirates 6