Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/21/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB: 1:35 PM ET
Jul. 21, 2019
TV: n/a
The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series with some momentum as they got a big 7-6 win Thursday to earn a 2-2 split of their series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Philadelphia Phillies, after a 6-1 win Friday, had scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. The Philadelphia Phillies, entering this series, had given up 6 or more runs in each of their last 4 games.
The Philadelphia Phillies entered this series having an allowed an average of 9.3 runs per game their last 4 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have been an over machine in recent months as the O/U, including Friday's result, is 34-17 in the Pittsburgh Pirates games during this stretch.
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With both starting pitchers having a strong likelihood of getting hit hard and both bullpens ranked in the bottom third of the majors, plenty of scoring quite likely in this one! The Philadelphia Phillies are going with recently signed Drew Smyly and he has an 8.42 ERA in his 13 games (9 starts) this season..
The Pittsburgh Pirates are likely starting Trevor Williams after he was skipped Saturday due to flu-like symptoms. Trevor Williams has an 8.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pittsburgh Pirates Trevor Williams has a 6.43 ERA in his 3 career outings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Recent Betting Trends:
Philadelphia, entering Saturday, was 4-1 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
Phillies O/U, entering Saturday, was 1-8-3 in their last dozen games against the Pirates
Philadelphia, entering Saturday, was 7-1 in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, entering Saturday, was 1-6 in their last 7 games overall
Pirates O/U, entering Saturday, was 28-13 in home games this season
Pittsburgh, entering Saturday, was 1-3 in last 4 home games versus Philadelphia
Free Betting Pick: OVER in Pittsburgh
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be plentiful in this one. The best bet (value) is to play over the total based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 7, Pittsburgh Pirates 6