Twins at Phillies 4/7/19 - MLB Baseball O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB: 1:05 PM ET
Apr. 07, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Phillies -125 O/U 8.5
Yesterday's total between these teams was an 8.5 in most books. There are few 8s out there as well but those were few and far between. The fact is that anyone who got a push with the over on Saturday was quite fortunate in multiple ways.
It would have been fortunate to even have an 8 on the game and then it took a 3-run bomb from the Minnesota Twins in the top of the 8th against a strong reliever to get there. The Minnesota Twins uncharacteristically hit 3 homers yesterday as that was their HR total in the first 6 games this season.
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You can see why a repeat of the MInnesota Twins rare power surge is unlikely Sunday and that means value with the under in this match-up. Adding to the value is two high-quality pitchers taking the mound. Zach Eflin gets the call for the Philadelphia Phillies and he is known for being tougher at home than on the road.
The Minnesota Twins hand the ball to Jose Berrios for this one and, of course, he is widely recognized as one of the top young starting pitchers in the game. Not only that, with this being an inter-league match-up there is a lack of familiarity for each lineup here. That only aids the likelihood that the bats will be rather quiet in this one. Yesterday's game did not feature a lot of hits. It just featured some big hits for the Minnesota Twins.
Recent Betting Trends:
Minnesota is 5-2 this season against right-handed starters
Twins O/U is 3-1 this season in road games
Minnesota is 4-1 this season in day games
Philadelphia is 28-15 as a home favorite of -125 to -175
Phillies O/U is 18-24 as a home favorite of -125 to -175
Philadelphia is 54-32 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
Free Betting Pick: UNDER 8.5 in Philadelphia
With consideration to all of the above factors, runs are likely to be few and far between in this one and the best bet (value) is to take the UNDER based on a projected final score of Philadelphia Phillies 3, Minnesota Twins 2