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Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat 6/9/23 - NBA Betting Picks and Odds

Posted on 9 June 2023 by Cameron Ross

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat

NBA: 8:30 PM EST

Jun. 09, 2023

TV: n/a
Latest Odds : DEN -3 ; O/U 210.5

The NBA Finals will continue Friday night in Miami as the Denver Nuggets again take on the Miami Heat in game four. Denver comes into game 4 with a one game lead following a 15 point blowout victory in game three. The Denver Nuggets have been an offensive smoke show in the postseason averaging just over 115 points through 17 games played. Denver has shot the leather off the ball for the entirety of the postseason making 49.3% of their shots from the floor and just under 39% from beyond the arc. Former MVP candidate Nicola Jokic is leading the way for the Denver offense averaging 30.4 points, 12.9 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game all of which lead the team.

Jamal Murray is a close second for the Denver offense in the postseason averaging 27 points per game and a team high 1.9 steals on 48% shooting from the floor. Aaron Gordon has found his offense as well against Miami playing bully ball to average 13.1 points and nearly six rebounds per game. Bruce Brown has been a vital piece for Denver throughout the postseason averaging 12 points and four rebounds per game off the bench to provide Denver that spark outside of the starting lineup.

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The Miami Heat return to their home floor Friday night looking to pick up the pieces of an abysmal performance in game three to go down by one game in the series. Miami comes into game 4 after an abysmal shooting performance and an overall terrible game in game three. Jimmy Butler has led the way for the Miami offense this postseason averaging 27.3 points per game and 5.9 assists through 19 games played overall. Big man Bam Adebayo man's the middle averaging 17.5 points and a team leading 9.4 rebounds as well. Duncan Robinson has found his way off the Miami bench averaging 9.1 points per game. Caleb Martin has been perhaps the biggest secret weapon for Miami through the postseason averaging 13 points per game on 54.5% shooting from the floor and 44.1% from beyond the arc.

Offensively Miami has played well averaging 110.7 points per game on 45.4% shooting from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc. The Miami offense has played well through the postseason, but their defense has been the key to their success. Miami is carrying a 112.3 defensive rating through the playoffs and average 31 rebounds and 7.1 steals per game. Defensively Miami has played well through the Finals allowing only 107 points per game, but their offense has been abysmal averaging 99.3 points resulting in the 2-1 deficit after three games.

Recent Betting Trends:

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.

Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Free Betting Pick: Denver Nuggets -3

The Denver Nuggets really flexed their muscle in game 3 and will see blood in the water Friday. Denver used their size and depth to overwhelm Miami resulting in the double digit win. Look for Denver to continue to roll as they do enough in game 4 to take a commanding 3-1 lead. Final Score Prediction, Denver Nuggets win and cover 111-103.

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