Broncos @ Jets 10/7/18 - NFL Football O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets
NFL: 1:00 PM ET
Oct. 07, 2018
TV: CBS
Latest Odds : Den 1 O/U 42.5
Denver has lost 2 straight games SU and 3 straight games ATS. The Broncos just don't possess the defense they once did.
Denver has allowed an average of 273 passing yards per game on the season. New York Jets QB Sam Darnold should have a big game here. The Jets totaled 320 passing yards in their only home game so far this season.
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New York Jets QB Sam Darnold will want to make the most of what is just the 2nd home game of the season. Denver QB Case Keenum is looking to atone for a missed opportunity late in last week's game as they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football.
The Broncos defense may struggle here on short rest after the Monday Night defeat at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs. Denver allowed an average of 5.5 rushing yards per carry versus the Kansas City Chiefs. The Jets have allowed at least 126 rushing yards in each of their last 3 games and the ability of the Broncos to successfully utilize the ground game will soften up the New York Jets defense. That will allow Denver to attack down field with the passing game led by QB Case Keenum.
Recent Betting Trends:
Broncos O/U 2-10 last 12 versus teams with a losing record.
Jets O/U 4-1 last 5 as a home underdog of 3 or less points.
Denver O/U 67-41 in weeks 5 through 9 of a season.
Broncos 5-12 ATS in road games.
Jets 5-1 ATS in home games with an O/U between 42.5 and 45 points.
New York Jets 6-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 of a season.
Free Betting Pick: OVER 42.5 in New York Jets
With both Case Keenum and Sam Darnold likely to have big games in this early Sunday match-up, points should be much more easily attained than many are forecasting in this match-up.
Given the above, a shootout is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to play the over based on a projected final score of Denver 28, New York Jets 24.