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Chiefs at Broncos 10/1/18 - NFL Football O/U Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 1 October 2018 by Clyde Schmidt
patmahomes100118

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

NFL: 8:15 PM ET

Oct. 01, 2018

TV: ESPN
Latest Odds : KC 3.5 O/U 54.5


With Patrick Mahomes leading the way for Kansas City, the Chiefs are averaging 39.3 points per game this season. The Broncos have gotten some impressive production from Case Keenum as well and Denver is averaging 238.passing yards per game. The Broncos are also impressive on the ground as Denver is averaging 144 rushing yards per game.

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The issue for the Chiefs is a defense that is allowing 30.7 points per game and 474 yards per game. The Broncos should move the ball easily here but won't be able to stop the potent offensive attack of Kansas City led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Denver's defense is not as strong as it once was (particularly against the pass) and this has led to the Broncos allowing at least 24 points in 2 of their 3 games this season.

Recent Betting Trends:

Kansas City 11-2 ATS in divisional games.

Denver 1-6 ATS as an underdog in a range of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Chiefs O/U 5-0-1 L6 meetings with Broncos.

Broncos O/U 113-66 in games against teams with a winning record.

Free Betting Pick: OVER 54.5 in Denver

With the Chiefs happy to play at a quick tempo and the Broncos knowing they can exploit a struggling Broncos defense, points should be aplenty here courtesy of Patrick Mahomes and Case Keenum as this Kansas City at Denver match-up turns into a shootout. Given the above, a shootout is in the forecast here and the best bet (value) is to play the over based on a projected final score of Kansas City 38, Denver 28

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