Clicky

Winning Free Picks

Colts at Patriots 10/4/18 - NFL Football ATS Pick & Betting Odds

Posted on 4 October 2018 by Clyde Schmidt
andrewluck100418

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

NFL: 8:20 PM ET

Oct. 04, 2018

TV: FOX
Latest Odds : NE -10 O/U 50.5


Even without TY Hilton (only caught 4 passes Sunday) the Colts offense still has plenty of potential with Andrew Luck at QB. Last week, Andrew Luck completed 40 of 62 passes for 437 yards and only 4 of those went to TY Hilton.

The Patriots are off of a huge win versus the Dolphins where New England delivered a huge effort on both sides of the ball versus Miami. After such a strong effort, even a powerful team like New England can be a little flat in a spot like this on a short week.

Click HERE to get ALL of our Winning Free Picks Daily Free NFL Picks & Predictions!

Bill Belichick will of course have his Patriots ready here but New England did lose two straight games before the win versus the Miami Dolphins Sunday. The Patriots will look to take advantage of a Colts defense that has allowed 268 passing yards per game this year.

The Colts and Andrew Luck will look to take advantage of a Patriots defense that was allowing 25.7 points per game this season before taking advantage of facing an over-rated Miami Dolphins team last week.

Recent Betting Trends:

New England 10-3 ATS when playing a team with a winning record.

Patriots 10-2 ATS when off of a divisional game.

New England 10-2 ATS in games with an O/U of 49.5 or more points.

Patriots O/U 3-10 in games against teams with a losing record.

Colts O/U 2-7 when entering a game on a SU losing streak of 2 or more games.

Indianapolis on an 11-3 run in Thursday games.

Free Betting Pick: Indianapolis Colts +10

The Colts lost last week's game in overtime on head coach Frank Reich's gutsy call in overtime but the fact is the aggressiveness of Frank Reich won over the locker room even though they didn't win the game. Look for Indianapolis to carry some momentum into this week's games as a result. Given the above, a battle is in the forecast and the best bet (value) is to grab the points based on a projected final score of New England 31, Denver 27

See premium picks from the pros>>

JOIN TXT Msg List Now! Weekly Free Pick & Promo