Maple Leafs at Flames 3/4/19 - NHL Hockey O/U Pick & Betting Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames
NHL: 9:05 PM ET
Mar. 04, 2019
TV: n/a
Latest Odds : Calgary -130 O/U 6.5
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games and have averaged scoring 4.6 goals per game in the process. The Calgary Flames have won 7 of their last 8 games overall and have scored 4 or more goals in 2 of their last 4 home games.
The Calgary Flames have been playing better in their own zone recently plus receiving improved goaltending. However, it is hard to ignore the fact that the Calgary Flames have an O/U record of 20-6 this season in home games with an O/U of 6 or more goals.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs have scored 4 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 games. In other words, the odds favor the Toronto Maple Leafs having another huge game in the offensive zone Monday night.
The issue for the Toronto Maple Leafs here will be stopping the Calgary Flames and if each team gets to at least 3 goals it means this total has to reach at least a 7. The Toronto Maple Leafs penalty kill has struggled and they have allowed 6 power play goals in their last 7 games!
Recent Betting Trends:
Toronto is 19-11 this season after a win by 2 goals or more
Maple Leafs O/U is 13-6 this season after a division game
Toronto is 16-8 this season revenging a loss versus opponent
Calgary is 18-11 this season in a home game where the total is 6 or more
Flames O/U is 20-6 this season in a home game where the total is 6 or more
Calgary is 15-5 this season after allowing 4 goals or more
Free Betting Pick: OVER 6.5 in Calgary
Not only has the Toronto Maple Leafs penalty kill struggled, their power play has been hot and gone 10 for 30 in their last 10 games. The Calgary Flames power play has scored a respectable 6 goals in their last 10 games. With how poor the Toronto Maple Leafs penalty kill has been, special teams play should contribute to this total.
With consideration to all of the above factors, goals are likely to be plentiful in this one and the best (value) is to take the OVER based on a projected final score of Calgary Flames 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4